Почему цена XRP сегодня упала? Впереди 40% крах?

Пульсация XRP has struggled this past week, underperforming compared to gains seen in major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Эфириум, BNB и SOL. Currently priced at $2.37, XRP has dropped over 5% in the last seven days, with a significant 3.4% slide within the past 24 hours, according to data from Coingecko.

This decline has interrupted XRP’s rally, which began on March 19 after the news about урегулирование Ripple с Комиссией по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC). В рамках соглашения Ripple заплатит 50 миллионов долларов США из первоначального штрафа в размере 125 миллионов долларов, наложенного Комиссией по ценным бумагам и биржам (SEC). Кроме того, SEC планирует обратиться в суд с просьбой отменить ранее вынесенный запрет против Ripple, хотя завершающие этапы процесса ещё находятся в процессе.

XRP's trading volume has also fallen sharply, dropping from over $4 billion to $2.9 billion in the past week—a decrease of more than 39%.

XRP/USDT Диаграмма анализа

Анализ ежедневного XRP/USDT chart reveals two concerning bearish patterns: a head and shoulders (H&S) formation and a descending triangle. Both suggest potential downside risks for XRP. While an H&S pattern is often dependable for predicting price movements, it could still be invalidated if XRP manages to break above $3.

The left shoulder formed in late December 2024, with XRP peaking near $2.80 before retreating. The "head," которая является самой высокой точкой узора, reached approximately $3 in early January 2025, followed by another drop. Since February, XRP has tested the $2 region at least three times, rebounding quickly from this key support level, as shown by the candle wicks. 

В настоящее время XRP is trading above the 20-day moving average (MA). However, a pattern of lower highs, declining trading volumes, and resistance around the upper trendline of the descending triangle suggest caution is warranted for buyers.

If XRP fails to hold the $2 support level during its next retest, there’s a possibility of a 40% decline, potentially sliding to $1.20. However, the $1.76 zone, which aligns with the 200-day moving average, may offer some support for buyers.

A confirmed completion of the bearish pattern could signal a longer-term downward trend for XRP. This would indicate that sellers are gaining control after buyers failed to sustain higher price levels.

Based on the current market structure, it’s still a bit early to predict heavy declines for XRP. However, the lower highs and inverse движение against the general market trend should be a cause for concern. XRP would need to quickly reclaim the $2.50 levels, an area that will push it above the upper triangle trendline and crucial resistance, shifting momentum in favor of buyers.